Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BOOM (-1.5) vs Lodis (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6058e1f04d379fbc2ceaeef1ca83e1e86c684dc364975420a38d9a4aef64da60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BOMBA Teamof BOMBA Team, Lodis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Lodis | 33c | 2,781$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.27 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Lodis | 35c | 1,542$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.35 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed BOMBA Team | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked BOMBA Team | 65c | 1,454$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.84 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked BOMBA Team | 70c | 1,311$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.79 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed BOMBA Team | 15c | 350$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked BOMBA Team | 15c | 338$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.62 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed BOMBA Team | 70c | 265.14$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed BOMBA Team | 15c | 205$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Lodis | 38c | 171.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked BOMBA Team | 65c | 145.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked BOMBA Team | 9c | 140$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed BOMBA Team | 20c | 133$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Lodis | 38c | 130.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Lodis | 35c | 110.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed BOMBA Team | 15c | 68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 150 | 17.3%26 W · 124 L | -26.8wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed BOMBA Team | 70c | 66.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed BOMBA Team | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed BOMBA Team | 66c | 52.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Lodis | 43c | 43.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked BOMBA Team | 57c | 33.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked BOMBA Team | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed BOMBA Team | 66c | 19.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BOOM (-1.5) vs Lodis (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Lodis vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonBOMBA Team won
- LoL: Lodis vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 WinnerBOMBA Team won
- LoL: Lodis vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 WinnerBOMBA Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.