South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x507f0e090328024588474f7a83e0ef7ab577834d8beb19a83b45241d050bad30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9857…a505backed No | 0c | 22,196$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked No | 12c | 8,067$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.17 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 10c | 3,150$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked No | 6c | 2,526$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 4c | 1,996$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed No | 3c | 1,244$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 37c | 992.75$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.35 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 11c | 884.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 6c | 736.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 10c | 716.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 10c | 539.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked No | 15c | 444.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 62c | 439.34$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3528…1ef9backed No | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 10c | 335$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 10c | 335$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 9c | 331.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Yes | 60c | 292.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 10c | 219.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 12c | 166.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 11c | 136.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 12c | 101.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 60c | 70.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Yes | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 60c | 17.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-04-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.