Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Majchrzak (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50a3b0453203c2a69ecbecba3be6e0a8b34d33bef8335fab65c7ed4503f1c720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perricardof Majchrzak, Perricard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,601 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Perricard | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.01 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Majchrzak | 32c | 1,749$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.55 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Majchrzak | 31c | 1,553$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.94 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Perricard | 71c | 1,466$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.2 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Majchrzak | 30c | 1,088$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.11 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Majchrzak | 31c | 769.36$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Perricard | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ae…adf0backed Majchrzak | 32c | 206.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Majchrzak | 70c | 199.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Majchrzak | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Majchrzak | 32c | 157.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Perricard | 69c | 137.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Majchrzak | 32c | 115.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Majchrzak | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Majchrzak | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Perricard | 69c | 93.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Majchrzak | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Majchrzak | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Majchrzak | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Majchrzak | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Majchrzak | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Majchrzak | 40c | 37.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Majchrzak (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)this page
- BNP Paribas Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardKamil Majchrzak won
- Kamil Majchrzak vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Majchrzak vs. Perricard: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Majchrzak vs PerricardMajchrzak won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.