Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Ingkar Dyussebay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d8c09087a3a100a0fe74d706cfcfe3228539521fc418a7321802f34bf68fc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ingkar Dyussebayof Ekaterina Maklakova, Ingkar Dyussebay
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ingkar Dyussebay | 75c | 2,162$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 23c | 1,669$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.04 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ingkar Dyussebay | 79c | 707.34$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ingkar Dyussebay | 11c | 402.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.29 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 23c | 340.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 18c | 284.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ingkar Dyussebay | 77c | 248.12$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Ingkar Dyussebay | 64c | 231.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 20c | 149.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 24c | 135.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…461bbacked Ingkar Dyussebay | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 23c | 95.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Ingkar Dyussebay | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 23c | 64.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 63c | 20.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ingkar Dyussebay | 75c | 18.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.