NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e58b68920ac25a8880bfa778b2d857f3da9449618ff5d2353025393b2afeb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pacers | 53c | 10,518$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,610.42 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 46c | 5,906$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.09 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 54c | 3,988$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.04 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 46c | 2,947$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Spurs | 46c | 2,704$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.44 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Spurs | 45c | 1,730$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.93 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 64c | 851.65$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Spurs | 50c | 800$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 45c | 760$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.59 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Pacers | 41c | 654.49$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Spurs | 46c | 605.18$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.8 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs | 80c | 465.51$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Spurs | 45c | 452.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.42 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers | 55c | 355.08$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Spurs | 43c | 298.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…1bdcbacked Pacers | 14c | 289.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Spurs | 43c | 274.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.33 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Spurs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Spurs | 48c | 165.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs | 52c | 157.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 47c | 155.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Spurs | 43c | 125.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Spurs | 45c | 123$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 12c | 111.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Pacers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Pacers | 41c | 90.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…f335backed Pacers | 53c | 75.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Pacers | 33c | 73.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Spurs | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Spurs | 45c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed Spurs | 63c | 41.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Pacersthis page
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.