Valorant · resolved market
Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50f295d3ce8b5a0e05a65a3c67b11697cc48a0a676ac7b946e13cc39fa7f0f57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf4a…a0c7backed Yes | 2c | 1,956$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,619$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 1c | 1,353$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…6c28backed Yes | 1c | 1,009$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 786.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Yes | 2c | 772.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…5dedbacked Yes | 3c | 599.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…4f90backed Yes | 7c | 226.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 8c | 187.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 146.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a66…66a8backed Yes | 9c | 137.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026?this page
- Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?No won
- Will FULL SENSE win Valorant Masters London 2026?No won
- Will FUT Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026?No won
- Will Global Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026?No won
- Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026?Yes won
- Will NRG win Valorant Masters London 2026?No won
- Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?No won
- Will Team Heretics win Valorant Masters London 2026?No won
- Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.