Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wetzlar: Tom Sickenberger vs Filip Krolo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x513afa3515f7f31de58da16b89875c0e19d48d41d1f8d04deb44c04dd51c3eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filip Kroloof Tom Sickenberger, Filip Krolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Tom Sickenberger | 38c | 11,696$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.08 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Filip Krolo | 64c | 4,078$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Filip Krolo | 62c | 685.33$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Filip Krolo | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Filip Krolo | 51c | 567.72$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Filip Krolo | 57c | 510$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Filip Krolo | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Filip Krolo | 50c | 298.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Filip Krolo | 80c | 256$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Filip Krolo | 51c | 157.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Tom Sickenberger | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Filip Krolo | 55c | 139.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Filip Krolo | 53c | 138.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Filip Krolo | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Filip Krolo | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Filip Krolo | 58c | 119.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Filip Krolo | 56c | 115.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Filip Krolo | 43c | 108.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Filip Krolo | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Filip Krolo | 56c | 97.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tom Sickenberger | 42c | 72.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Filip Krolo | 70c | 70.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Filip Krolo | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Filip Krolo | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Filip Krolo | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Filip Krolo | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tom Sickenberger | 21c | 53.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Filip Krolo | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Filip Krolo | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Filip Krolo | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Tom Sickenberger | 50c | 24.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Tom Sickenberger | 50c | 22.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tom Sickenberger | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.