Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Caldya Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5178182c7af5008c955e251c4460a2150203af016f9a3e86848c0dab9669d0fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caldya Esportof Esprit Shōnen, Caldya Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed Esprit Shōnen | 5c | 1,495$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Esprit Shōnen | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Esprit Shōnen | 6c | 593$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Caldya Esport | 46c | 549.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.57 | 1,748 | 46.2%808 W · 940 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Esprit Shōnen | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Caldya Esport | 67c | 450.46$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Esprit Shōnen | 8c | 380$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Esprit Shōnen | 44c | 195.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 1,428 | 51.2%731 W · 697 L | +48.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Caldya Esport | 59c | 127$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Caldya Esport | 53c | 126.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Caldya Esport | 13c | 119$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Caldya Esport | 18c | 100.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -18.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Esprit Shōnen | 72c | 96.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Caldya Esport | 21c | 74.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Esprit Shōnen | 63c | 71.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Esprit Shōnen | 47c | 58.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…108dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 65c | 49.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 409 | 55%225 W · 184 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 28c | 43.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,370 | 39%534 W · 836 L | -59.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Esprit Shōnen | 47c | 40.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa419…adafbacked Esprit Shōnen | 56c | 39.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Esprit Shōnen | 31c | 35.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Esprit Shōnen | 76c | 32.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Esprit Shōnen | 71c | 21.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…14e9backed Esprit Shōnen | 68c | 15.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Caldya Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Caldya Esport - Map 2 WinnerEsprit Shōnen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.