CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5181d42aff7fea82ad1b85fe54e70fa8b9ecdf239aa3b4b0c3a69cd1c968e6e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, LPH Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Atreides | 77c | 1,233$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.32 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Atreides | 56c | 1,024$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LPH Gaming | 24c | 326.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LPH Gaming | 43c | 294.45$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LPH Gaming | 25c | 242.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Atreides | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LPH Gaming | 23c | 203.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed LPH Gaming | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 48c | 186.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LPH Gaming | 35c | 172.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked LPH Gaming | 44c | 158$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LPH Gaming | 27c | 143.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed LPH Gaming | 48c | 113.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed LPH Gaming | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Atreides | 54c | 90.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked LPH Gaming | 18c | 75.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked LPH Gaming | 30c | 66.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LPH Gaming | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atreides | 42c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed LPH Gaming | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atreides | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Atreides | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Atreides | 70c | 39.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 57c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed LPH Gaming | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed LPH Gaming | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Atreides | 68c | 21.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Atreides | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed Atreides | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsLPH Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs LPH Gaming - Map 1 WinnerLPH Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.