TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Southern Miss Golden Eaglesof Southern Miss Golden Eagles, Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,739 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks10c1,800$179 inLost-$179.472,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks6c1,459$86 inLost-$86.111,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles80c886$709 inWon+$177.21,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles76c700$531 inWon+$1692,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks24c436.93$106 inLost-$105.8852928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks24c401.92$97 inLost-$96.7712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks13c281.38$37 inLost-$36.5812354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks4c271.32$11 inLost-$10.855,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks20c250$50 inLost-$5040147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks5c201.27$10 inLost-$10.1536845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks22c184.25$40 inLost-$40.2721535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks8c164$13 inLost-$13.31,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles79c162.39$128 inWon+$34.3817544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks24c134.76$33 inLost-$32.632,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks23c115.96$27 inLost-$26.679051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks20c100$20 inLost-$205253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks24c67.38$16 inLost-$16.321,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks21c62.61$13 inLost-$13.033,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles76c19.57$15 inWon+$4.76558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.