Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs GamerLegion (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520f3c074d5cbc5412a364adab3d99b536c4d5168dbd2c412896ccfbcfc32dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof Nigma Galaxy, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 1,104$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.88 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked GamerLegion | 22c | 1,002$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.4 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed GamerLegion | 30c | 485.17$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.96 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 484.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.61 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nigma Galaxy | 4c | 323$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed GamerLegion | 67c | 307.9$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed GamerLegion | 56c | 210.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 195.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.63 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed GamerLegion | 23c | 130.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed GamerLegion | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs GamerLegion (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.