Other European Leagues · resolved market
Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5218cdc35bb89dccbb16d250f9bca6d2f0ea6055f319b91f66adb349b2cc7ad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea03…a5a3backed Over | 50c | 1,596$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +111%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 51c | 1,247$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,052$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.06 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 50c | 601.69$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.69 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 71c | 394.21$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 283.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 46c | 222$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 53c | 210$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 52c | 173$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 172.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 48c | 161$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…8377backed Over | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 48.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 59c | 47.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…5778backed Over | 50c | 40.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…63e6backed Under | 52c | 35.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…d1c0backed Under | 52c | 31.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…54dcbacked Under | 52c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…fc73backed Over | 50c | 27.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…b6b1backed Over | 49c | 26.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf726…f582backed Under | 51c | 22.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…7a9cbacked Over | 49c | 21.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821f…f68ebacked Over | 49c | 21.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.