Other European Leagues · resolved market
Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2ff1539b74c20f5f0217933dcf9b69f4613f094c351724c6d2c8d9e40f90c59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 50c | 6,506$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 5,198$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 3,648$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 56c | 1,440$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 616.09$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.93 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 72c | 549.95$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.5 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 30c | 421.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 357.37$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.61 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 34c | 235.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.66 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 7c | 212.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 30c | 193.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 29c | 188.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 163.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 35c | 149.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 35c | 148.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 30c | 135.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 29c | 124.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 59c | 112.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 71c | 96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 67c | 74.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 38c | 72.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 29c | 69.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 28c | 69.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 29c | 68.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 65c | 53.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 30c | 50.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 24c | 49.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 47.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 29c | 43.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…a468backed Under | 72c | 41.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 73cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 58c | 32.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 30.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 69c | 28.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 69c | 28.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 28.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.