Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Cornell Big Red (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x521a775f5cad033b198f6ac0835be660f37b510273fe79388887ea2721b1e0cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cornell Big Redof Cornell Big Red, Princeton Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Cornell Big Red | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Princeton Tigers | 46c | 1,022$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Cornell Big Red | 54c | 543$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Princeton Tigers | 47c | 367.43$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Cornell Big Red | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Princeton Tigers | 47c | 297.01$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Princeton Tigers | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Princeton Tigers | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Cornell Big Red | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Princeton Tigers | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Cornell Big Red | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Cornell Big Red | 53c | 43.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Cornell Big Red | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…9e0bbacked Princeton Tigers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Cornell Big Red | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cornell Big Red (-2.5)this page
- Cornell Big Red vs. Princeton TigersCornell Big Red won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 154.5Under won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 155.5Under won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Cornell Big Red (-3.5)Cornell Big Red won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.