South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x523235214dd1815b71839c2a5a478a0388d219ffea9df2d67cb3a7e2624fe97e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 48c | 1,719$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Yes | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 52c | 914.73$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.07 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 262.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 75c | 204.34$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 51c | 136.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 52c | 93.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed No | 17c | 88.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 72.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 27c | 46.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 43.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Yes | 37c | 29.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 53c | 26.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 50c | 23.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 57c | 20.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud: O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud: O/U 4.5Under won
- CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)CA Juventud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.