Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x524833df83ca0caa95874d23a973becc567b469d9edad3da4e3ccd57c0b5cc4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Power Rangers | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Power Rangers | 76c | 1,157$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.91 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MODUS | 25c | 1,001$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.33 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MODUS | 24c | 999.22$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked MODUS | 26c | 686.9$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.59 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MODUS | 18c | 595$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Power Rangers | 60c | 586.14$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.29 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed MODUS | 11c | 344.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 334.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked MODUS | 30c | 334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MODUS | 38c | 330.14$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Power Rangers | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…25abbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 260$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…f8ddbacked MODUS | 12c | 184.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked MODUS | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed MODUS | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked MODUS | 27c | 147.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Power Rangers | 73c | 128.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked MODUS | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…6f0cbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 91.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed MODUS | 28c | 83.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked MODUS | 30c | 66.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MODUS | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…01ecbacked MODUS | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Power Rangers | 77c | 44.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Power Rangers | 73c | 43.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 27.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Power Rangers | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…be06backed Power Rangers | 73c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 15.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.