Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7faa448ee821514bfcf4583fa3c12afef76ec65f006199b86ea6398939326b74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked MODUS | 53c | 2,648$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.88 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Power Rangers | 75c | 2,371$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.62 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 33c | 2,147$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.01 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Power Rangers | 74c | 1,221$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.91 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers | 45c | 990.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.29 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Power Rangers | 60c | 716.19$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.31 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MODUS | 21c | 702.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked MODUS | 35c | 507.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Power Rangers | 57c | 390.4$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 65c | 368.11$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MODUS | 32c | 308.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Power Rangers | 68c | 254.07$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Power Rangers | 62c | 209.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Power Rangers | 71c | 203$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Power Rangers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed MODUS | 29c | 171.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MODUS | 41c | 114.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 60c | 104.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Power Rangers | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 37c | 97.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Power Rangers | 60c | 97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Power Rangers | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Power Rangers | 60c | 95.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Power Rangers | 51c | 88.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Power Rangers | 59c | 71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MODUS | 31c | 70.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Power Rangers | 71c | 66.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Power Rangers | 45c | 62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Power Rangers | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked MODUS | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Power Rangers | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked Power Rangers | 46c | 53.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Power Rangers | 47c | 53.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS | 25c | 49.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed MODUS | 33c | 45.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Power Rangers | 52c | 43.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…be06backed Power Rangers | 61c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Power Rangers | 75c | 35.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Power Rangers | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Power Rangers | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Power Rangers | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Power Rangers | 45c | 28.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Power Rangers | 47c | 27.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Power Rangers | 66c | 17.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Power Rangers | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.