Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19df4d8fe3d3e5b34c0ba4473ce34916a3b590a44e7d255ebf792ac0a14ab81a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Power Rangers | 67c | 1,741$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.03 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Power Rangers | 61c | 1,691$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.46 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MODUS | 18c | 1,205$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MODUS | 39c | 904.6$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MODUS | 13c | 867.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MODUS | 36c | 746.8$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Power Rangers | 77c | 631.06$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Power Rangers | 62c | 593.75$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.32 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MODUS | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Power Rangers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed MODUS | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MODUS | 20c | 281$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MODUS | 39c | 221.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MODUS | 53c | 204.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked MODUS | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked MODUS | 47c | 175.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MODUS | 30c | 157.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed MODUS | 18c | 135.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 25c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MODUS | 17c | 118.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MODUS | 33c | 112.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed MODUS | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MODUS | 50c | 86.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Power Rangers | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed MODUS | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed MODUS | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked MODUS | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Power Rangers | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 52c | 39.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed MODUS | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MODUS | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MODUS | 49c | 30.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…be06backed Power Rangers | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Power Rangers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Power Rangers | 57c | 18.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Power Rangers | 69c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.