Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstetten: Vivian Wolff vs Teodora Kostovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5276b65b043d7c54e13dec9e7706d7499f396fe11da4f152df60aaee8a0b91b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Teodora Kostovicof Vivian Wolff, Teodora Kostovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Vivian Wolff | 8c | 2,885$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.34 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Vivian Wolff | 9c | 1,556$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Vivian Wolff | 2c | 1,121$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Vivian Wolff | 16c | 824.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Vivian Wolff | 11c | 344.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb032…fd99backed Vivian Wolff | 28c | 232.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Vivian Wolff | 9c | 224.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Vivian Wolff | 24c | 208.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…9e27backed Vivian Wolff | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Vivian Wolff | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Vivian Wolff | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Vivian Wolff | 24c | 43.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…891dbacked Vivian Wolff | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Teodora Kostovic | 76c | 31.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Teodora Kostovic | 80c | 24.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Teodora Kostovic | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.