Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52820cee8de35580d1bbae0c674c85b7dce63fddf77a1d2c892650de7cefad3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc01b…7718backed Yes | 63c | 11,834$7,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 3,870$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 40c | 1,685$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.43 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 32c | 1,041$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.22 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.14 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed No | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 713.37$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.66 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 693.73$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 687.37$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.24 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 683.99$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.31 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 42c | 666.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.13 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 33c | 661.08$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.01 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 405.76$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.64 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 377.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 311.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 271.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 23c | 241$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 28c | 220$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…d117backed Yes | 28c | 148.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +258%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 53c | 132.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 111$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 38c | 100.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +278.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 81.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 30c | 34.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed No | 42c | 30.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.