Euroleague · resolved market
Basquet Girona vs. Manresa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52aff779f3c7275e9e25db4cfcc72c32650002e80029309378aa8626c4197f8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manresaof Basquet Girona, Manresa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Basquet Girona | 37c | 2,071$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Basquet Girona | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Manresa | 39c | 1,156$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.4 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Manresa | 74c | 910.4$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.62 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…6210backed Basquet Girona | 2c | 707.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Manresa | 17c | 358.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Manresa | 46c | 278.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.48 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Basquet Girona | 46c | 209.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Manresa | 74c | 199.57$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Manresa | 16c | 155.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Basquet Girona | 67c | 139.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Manresa | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Basquet Girona | 75c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Basquet Girona | 41c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Basquet Girona | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.