Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Guido Justo vs Matias Soto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5388ba2a960d8dbc55fec7eebd3c3df29c8d5c051cd1a42eb9711f7a610c1bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matias Sotoof Guido Justo, Matias Soto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Guido Justo | 13c | 4,070$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.73 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guido Justo | 39c | 2,253$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matias Soto | 68c | 1,631$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.55 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Guido Justo | 27c | 1,550$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.72 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Matias Soto | 38c | 1,327$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.83 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Guido Justo | 28c | 1,018$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.02 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matias Soto | 70c | 783.57$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.34 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Guido Justo | 30c | 765.69$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guido Justo | 33c | 685.93$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.52 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Guido Justo | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Guido Justo | 30c | 637.32$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Guido Justo | 47c | 500.96$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.27 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Guido Justo | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Matias Soto | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Guido Justo | 16c | 426$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Guido Justo | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 38.2%94 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Guido Justo | 49c | 368.37$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…95f0backed Guido Justo | 26c | 326.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a71…42d1backed Guido Justo | 25c | 271.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Matias Soto | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Matias Soto | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4a85backed Matias Soto | 58c | 241.47$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Matias Soto | 73c | 206.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Guido Justo | 20c | 178.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a38bbacked Matias Soto | 75c | 150.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matias Soto | 53c | 148.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Matias Soto | 70c | 141.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Matias Soto | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked Matias Soto | 58c | 137.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…a4b1backed Matias Soto | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Guido Justo | 22c | 125.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Matias Soto | 72c | 109.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Matias Soto | 78c | 94.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Matias Soto | 71c | 90.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Matias Soto | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Matias Soto | 74c | 89.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Matias Soto | 71c | 87.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Matias Soto | 73c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Guido Justo | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Guido Justo | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 167 | 18.6%31 W · 136 L | -23.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Guido Justo | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed Matias Soto | 40c | 56.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Matias Soto | 78c | 53.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Matias Soto | 74c | 52.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Matias Soto | 66c | 50.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Guido Justo | 32c | 50.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Guido Justo | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…df70backed Guido Justo | 26c | 49.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Matias Soto | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Guido Justo | 39c | 43.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Matias Soto | 71c | 42.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Matias Soto | 74c | 41.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Matias Soto | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Matias Soto | 37c | 37.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Guido Justo | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…c9c4backed Matias Soto | 78c | 32.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Matias Soto | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Matias Soto | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Matias Soto | 70c | 28.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Matias Soto | 76c | 28.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matias Soto | 38c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Matias Soto | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Matias Soto | 64c | 25.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Matias Soto | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Guido Justo | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Matias Soto | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Matias Soto | 71c | 23.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Matias Soto | 70c | 21.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Matias Soto | 71c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matias Soto | 78c | 14.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.