CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x538a90820b96da9c90beb2f6c1e20e11f74dbf0955c0eb332b61e6b92dd9f133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z | 48c | 1,149$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed paiN | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed 9z | 20c | 928.52$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed paiN | 62c | 816.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.65 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed paiN | 55c | 666$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed 9z | 38c | 473.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked paiN | 65c | 426.43$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed 9z | 47c | 315.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 9z | 26c | 289.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…1038backed 9z | 14c | 251.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN | 74c | 236.86$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked paiN | 57c | 229$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked paiN | 55c | 223.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN | 51c | 165.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed 9z | 38c | 156.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed paiN | 56c | 136.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed 9z | 44c | 136.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 9z | 52c | 131.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed paiN | 56c | 105.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed 9z | 27c | 101.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…fc54backed 9z | 42c | 51.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed paiN | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…46a2backed 9z | 27c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked paiN | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed paiN | 47c | 30.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked paiN | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 9z | 48c | 25.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked paiN | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.