CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d28ea081c8cbdca0206befa30f011167e70b97d99549c59448fa7cf97a9b9fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof paiN, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked paiN | 28c | 794.41$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.48 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…1038backed 9z | 76c | 454.38$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed paiN | 53c | 447$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 9z | 61c | 402.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed 9z | 66c | 370.33$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN | 33c | 269$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked paiN | 49c | 254.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked 9z | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed paiN | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 9z | 58c | 244$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 66c | 240.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked paiN | 32c | 167.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…313abacked 9z | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked paiN | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed 9z | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed paiN | 36c | 51.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z | 64c | 49.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed 9z | 74c | 42.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 9z | 77c | 37.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…1931backed paiN | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed paiN | 57c | 34.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked 9z | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked paiN | 41c | 30.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed 9z | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked 9z | 61c | 17.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.