Tennis · resolved market
Mexico City: Daniel Milavsky vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x538e1df8c7f2b70e586765dab04e388616b37e206d3414538edc395446b5ab9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Pablo Ficovichof Daniel Milavsky, Juan Pablo Ficovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Milavsky | 14c | 2,419$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.43 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Milavsky | 8c | 1,941$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Daniel Milavsky | 6c | 1,831$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Daniel Milavsky | 8c | 652.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Daniel Milavsky | 16c | 474.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Daniel Milavsky | 20c | 444.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Daniel Milavsky | 3c | 433.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 166 | 45.2%75 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Daniel Milavsky | 21c | 359.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Daniel Milavsky | 17c | 332.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Daniel Milavsky | 4c | 308.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Daniel Milavsky | 16c | 251.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 77c | 247.2$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Daniel Milavsky | 16c | 237.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Daniel Milavsky | 16c | 237.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Daniel Milavsky | 16c | 235.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniel Milavsky | 16c | 197.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Daniel Milavsky | 22c | 194.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daniel Milavsky | 17c | 160.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 75c | 137.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 78c | 114.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Daniel Milavsky | 19c | 99.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Daniel Milavsky | 18c | 95.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed Daniel Milavsky | 23c | 73.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 77c | 70.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 73c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 72c | 47.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 820 | 55%451 W · 369 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 76c | 27.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 79c | 14.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico City: Daniel Milavsky vs Juan Pablo Ficovichthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Milavsky vs FicovichFicovich won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.