Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53b94a95f7565384f06e371c780ab2921e32f266bb6f003187be27f83b0e5c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Draper, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Humbert | 58c | 711.42$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.14 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Humbert | 65c | 692.93$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.74 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Draper | 3c | 510.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Draper | 42c | 477$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Draper | 46c | 321$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Draper | 43c | 239.42$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Humbert | 55c | 237.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Humbert | 53c | 207.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Draper | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Draper | 28c | 163.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Draper | 29c | 163$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Draper | 43c | 163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Draper | 34c | 158.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Draper | 33c | 142$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Humbert | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Draper | 46c | 119$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Draper | 44c | 112.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Draper | 40c | 102.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Draper | 24c | 102$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Draper | 45c | 80.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…f838backed Humbert | 60c | 79.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed Humbert | 61c | 72.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Humbert | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Humbert | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Humbert | 61c | 48.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Draper | 44c | 43.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…1734backed Humbert | 60c | 41.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Humbert | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Draper | 42c | 32.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Draper | 39c | 27.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Humbert | 60c | 21.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)this page
- Draper vs. Humbert: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Draper vs. Humbert: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Ugo HumbertUgo Humbert won
- Set 1 Winner: Draper vs HumbertHumbert won
- Set 2 Winner: Draper vs HumbertHumbert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.