Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Kokkinakis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x542baf7248bba268d7047c5c30ceabaab5b23e97f18333535f404017cd9c71f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kokkinakisof Borges, Kokkinakis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Kokkinakis | 42c | 880.95$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.95 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Borges | 56c | 355.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Borges | 58c | 343.78$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Borges | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Borges | 63c | 121.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kokkinakis | 37c | 121.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kokkinakis | 44c | 98.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…a827backed Borges | 56c | 89.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Borges | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Kokkinakis | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Kokkinakis | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Borges | 45c | 28.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Borges | 64c | 19.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Kokkinakisthis page
- Borges vs. Kokkinakis: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi KokkinakisNuno Borges won
- Set 2 Winner: Borges vs KokkinakisBorges won
- Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Kokkinakis (+1.5)Kokkinakis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.