Europa Conference League · resolved market
Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5434c3620991da20137375b61e08c888e6b065b311e4281f42eef5125e3d789a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Iberia 1999of Larne FC, SK Iberia 1999
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked SK Iberia 1999 | 46c | 1,999$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Larne FC | 55c | 910.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.57 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed SK Iberia 1999 | 76c | 638.06$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Larne FC | 55c | 550$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.79 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Larne FC | 56c | 542.78$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.65 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Larne FC | 23c | 520.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed SK Iberia 1999 | 75c | 134.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Larne FC | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 23c | 96.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked SK Iberia 1999 | 62c | 63.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: Team to Advancethis page
- Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: Larne FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Larne FC (-1.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)Larne FC won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-2.5)Larne FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.