La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x547e23258e300e199e6e666816bc6f9dc2c19a1923363bb45c80ca61bd445204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 2,050$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.91 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 80c | 1,068$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.34 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 955$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.76 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 9c | 841.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 804.5$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.64 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 743$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 402.13$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.45 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 43c | 264$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 6c | 255$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 69c | 211.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 24c | 183.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 12c | 171.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 31c | 114$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 104.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 72.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 32c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 21.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.