CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5481c4841f784122d39aa520adc912cc89a4a7001612705533a229b0fb4e2b5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 69c | 1,973$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.71 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Leo Team | 65c | 1,303$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.19 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed megoshort | 30c | 840$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked megoshort | 31c | 839.39$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.04 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Leo Team | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed megoshort | 34c | 770.4$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.48 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked megoshort | 35c | 704.54$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.59 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed megoshort | 10c | 618.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed megoshort | 34c | 591.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed megoshort | 48c | 563.41$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.72 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed megoshort | 34c | 510$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 71c | 350.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Leo Team | 71c | 299.52$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed megoshort | 37c | 295.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leo Team | 61c | 295.72$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed megoshort | 29c | 282.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed megoshort | 13c | 229.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed megoshort | 32c | 221.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Leo Team | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 61c | 174.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…0880backed megoshort | 34c | 163.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Leo Team | 62c | 158.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed megoshort | 20c | 120.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked megoshort | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked Leo Team | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked megoshort | 17c | 63.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked megoshort | 33c | 58.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca8…83c3backed megoshort | 34c | 58.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Leo Team | 66c | 45.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Leo Team | 73c | 44.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Leo Team | 69c | 41.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…90fbbacked Leo Team | 78c | 39.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Leo Team | 75c | 33.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked megoshort | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Leo Team | 51c | 27.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Leo Team | 60c | 19.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…a509backed Leo Team | 64c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs megoshort - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.