Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Boulter vs Volynets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548b309354ebe0c2fa873abf6c2b5ccf37cc4c7b908f2401897708c50d428dc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boulterof Boulter, Volynets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Boulter | 29c | 6,326$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.51 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Volynets | 50c | 2,178$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.78 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…ae4bbacked Volynets | 77c | 1,942$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.41 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Boulter | 66c | 1,329$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.79 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Volynets | 18c | 1,069$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Volynets | 50c | 730.5$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.25 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Boulter | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Boulter | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Volynets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Boulter | 50c | 488.73$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Boulter | 58c | 368$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Volynets | 34c | 192.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Boulter | 64c | 166.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boulter | 56c | 162.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Volynets | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Volynets | 38c | 107.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Volynets | 50c | 73.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Boulter | 27c | 57.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Boulter | 56c | 55.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Boulter | 55c | 24.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c0…0974backed Boulter | 57c | 23.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Boulter | 57c | 23.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Boulter | 57c | 23.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Boulter | 57c | 23.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Boulter vs Volynetsthis page
- Cincinnati Open: Katie Boulter vs Katie VolynetsKatie Boulter won
- Katie Boulter vs. Katie Volynets: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.