CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HOTU (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54bb33f5ed1a1fdc5c01111e781a8ee54c9c34b86462c468cf4909185d1967af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BET-M 33of BET-M 33, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked HOTU | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BET-M 33 | 55c | 2,375$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.26 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed HOTU | 49c | 1,003$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.7 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BET-M 33 | 55c | 813.95$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.18 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BET-M 33 | 41c | 557.8$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.93 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BET-M 33 | 40c | 434$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.1 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked HOTU | 60c | 372.88$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed BET-M 33 | 40c | 361.61$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…39b8backed HOTU | 44c | 262.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed HOTU | 30c | 159.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked HOTU | 62c | 126.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked BET-M 33 | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked HOTU | 64c | 110.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked BET-M 33 | 38c | 109.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 229 | 38.4%88 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BET-M 33 | 64c | 99.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed HOTU | 36c | 53.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU | 20c | 52.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed HOTU | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BET-M 33 | 50c | 43.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed BET-M 33 | 41c | 41.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed HOTU | 60c | 40.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 280 | 48.6%136 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed HOTU | 64c | 34.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 530 | 55.5%294 W · 236 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BET-M 33 | 58c | 33.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed BET-M 33 | 74c | 29.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…e3bbbacked BET-M 33 | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed BET-M 33 | 77c | 26.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked BET-M 33 | 70c | 23.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.