Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Joody Elkady
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54cfebab100bba16f30bde5b9b3d2434cdde0872e70504f3e58882394e59a4da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natalia Sousa Salazarof Natalia Sousa Salazar, Joody Elkady
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natalia Sousa Salazar | 56c | 1,714$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.9 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Joody Elkady | 44c | 1,649$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.56 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Joody Elkady | 36c | 605.94$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Natalia Sousa Salazar | 64c | 318.11$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Natalia Sousa Salazar | 61c | 304$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Joody Elkady | 33c | 134.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Joody Elkady | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Natalia Sousa Salazar | 67c | 128.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Joody Elkady | 40c | 124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Joody Elkady | 39c | 87.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Natalia Sousa Salazar | 68c | 62.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Joody Elkady | 37c | 45.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Natalia Sousa Salazar | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Natalia Sousa Salazar | 57c | 34.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Natalia Sousa Salazar | 64c | 28.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Natalia Sousa Salazar | 56c | 25.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Natalia Sousa Salazar | 79c | 20.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Joody Elkady | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.