Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Alabama Jaguars vs. UTSA Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54dbc2f1a1d457a4afdfc2df1315be18c610a22a9b30e217b7802f670b8fb686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabama Jaguarsof South Alabama Jaguars, UTSA Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed South Alabama Jaguars | 55c | 3,431$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.95 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 37c | 1,687$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked South Alabama Jaguars | 67c | 1,006$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.6 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed South Alabama Jaguars | 55c | 854$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 22c | 692$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed South Alabama Jaguars | 63c | 627$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 45c | 603.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 53c | 296.64$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed South Alabama Jaguars | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed South Alabama Jaguars | 75c | 87.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed UTSA Roadrunners | 32c | 82.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed South Alabama Jaguars | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed South Alabama Jaguars | 61c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UTSA Roadrunners | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed South Alabama Jaguars | 64c | 47.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed South Alabama Jaguars | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…a780backed South Alabama Jaguars | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed South Alabama Jaguars | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. UTSA Roadrunnersthis page
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-2.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.