Premier League · resolved market
Bristol City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x550f296ff88d7ec1dbac0ab64e3415606e41b4efb354ae2e5e0163cf7c908963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,676 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d1f…00c1backed Under | 45c | 7,683$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c7…f8e6backed Over | 55c | 6,393$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…22b1backed Over | 55c | 6,106$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.91 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 57c | 5,679$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad0…9d26backed Under | 45c | 5,172$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 43c | 4,140$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.96 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,741$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 44c | 2,357$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.82 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 1,524$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.82 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 1,106$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.36 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +61%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 56c | 810$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.6 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 56c | 688$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.28 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 589.29$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 495.02$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.44 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…b4efbacked Over | 55c | 356$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 41c | 259.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 57c | 222.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 78c | 169.42$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Under | 44c | 168.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9190…ed1ebacked Under | 44c | 162$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 19c | 160.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 55c | 99.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fd…ac40backed Over | 56c | 79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 71c | 75.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 43c | 75.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 68.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 44c | 67.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 49c | 47.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…9122backed Under | 44c | 39.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…f22fbacked Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…e20bbacked Over | 57c | 29.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 44c | 24.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…9a7abacked Over | 57c | 22.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c41…0277backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e5…0adbbacked Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bristol City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bristol City FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bristol City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.