Tennis · resolved market
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Sho Shimabukuro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5518a7b6fec6c319ce586cec421ee2ded3c81a461493a038d47fd29fd561f045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuof Wu, Shimabukuro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda76…221fbacked Shimabukuro | 28c | 1,638$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Shimabukuro | 15c | 1,353$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Shimabukuro | 19c | 1,325$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Shimabukuro | 19c | 1,193$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Wu | 70c | 1,141$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.33 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Shimabukuro | 19c | 1,120$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shimabukuro | 15c | 1,068$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Shimabukuro | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shimabukuro | 11c | 941.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wu | 73c | 765.67$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Wu | 78c | 757.59$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shimabukuro | 13c | 744.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Wu | 76c | 731.33$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shimabukuro | 20c | 658.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shimabukuro | 27c | 650$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Shimabukuro | 16c | 574$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Shimabukuro | 20c | 547$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Shimabukuro | 27c | 537.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Shimabukuro | 26c | 499.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wu | 74c | 449.43$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shimabukuro | 17c | 402.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Shimabukuro | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wu | 72c | 353.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Wu | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Shimabukuro | 17c | 296.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Wu | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Shimabukuro | 27c | 266$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Wu | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shimabukuro | 22c | 250.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Shimabukuro | 27c | 219$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Shimabukuro | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Shimabukuro | 17c | 180.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Shimabukuro | 17c | 170.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wu | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Wu | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Wu | 80c | 126.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Wu | 74c | 118.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wu | 72c | 105.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shimabukuro | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Wu | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Wu | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shimabukuro | 17c | 96.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shimabukuro | 17c | 92.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wu | 79c | 87.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Shimabukuro | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Shimabukuro | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7d…6406backed Wu | 73c | 53.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Wu | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Wu | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Shimabukuro | 27c | 48.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Wu | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Shimabukuro | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Wu | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Wu | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Sho Shimabukurothis page
- Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5)Wu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.