Tennis · resolved market
Lyon: Hugo Grenier vs Luca Van Assche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x551917a469f9f47e374f4142e1eff24aa2ae61980371fecee9f7433792c025ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Van Asscheof Hugo Grenier, Luca Van Assche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Hugo Grenier | 14c | 4,254$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.49 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Hugo Grenier | 6c | 2,180$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hugo Grenier | 3c | 2,050$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hugo Grenier | 4c | 1,964$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hugo Grenier | 6c | 1,826$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Hugo Grenier | 7c | 1,649$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc28…adb1backed Hugo Grenier | 9c | 1,430$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hugo Grenier | 4c | 1,173$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…e4ddbacked Hugo Grenier | 6c | 1,118$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Hugo Grenier | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hugo Grenier | 2c | 937$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hugo Grenier | 13c | 736.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Hugo Grenier | 2c | 636.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Hugo Grenier | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Hugo Grenier | 6c | 317.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Hugo Grenier | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Hugo Grenier | 6c | 222.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hugo Grenier | 8c | 191.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked Hugo Grenier | 7c | 164.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Hugo Grenier | 8c | 149.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Hugo Grenier | 14c | 144$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Luca Van Assche | 77c | 123.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Luca Van Assche | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Luca Van Assche | 76c | 95.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Luca Van Assche | 80c | 85.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Luca Van Assche | 80c | 37.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Luca Van Assche | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Luca Van Assche | 75c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.