Euroleague · resolved market
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Fujian Sturgeons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x552920b0b9b0c992b43ed71bc0945ef2219dde27004b0e33ef12977193e77b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Shenzhen Leopards, Fujian Sturgeons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Fujian Sturgeons | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Fujian Sturgeons | 15c | 659.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…1b6dbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 77c | 641.32$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Fujian Sturgeons | 15c | 306$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 15c | 297.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Fujian Sturgeons | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Fujian Sturgeons | 16c | 113.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fujian Sturgeons | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fujian Sturgeons | 14c | 76.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.