Tennis · resolved market
Morelia: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Alafia Ayeni
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x554e0c1a24498cbcfc3ba3ba327455c4f1df7d9e31701cc02957774bf466ac00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodrigo Pachecoof Rodrigo Pacheco, Alafia Ayeni
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,736 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alafia Ayeni | 24c | 1,741$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.24 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 76c | 1,168$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 78c | 638.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Alafia Ayeni | 21c | 460.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…b8b6backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 77c | 404.94$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 339.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Alafia Ayeni | 12c | 322.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Alafia Ayeni | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 270.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Alafia Ayeni | 8c | 236.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alafia Ayeni | 10c | 211.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 200.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Alafia Ayeni | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alafia Ayeni | 9c | 199.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alafia Ayeni | 8c | 189.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 76c | 188$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alafia Ayeni | 24c | 165.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alafia Ayeni | 10c | 134.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…accbbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 76c | 105.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 79c | 98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 954 | 55.5%529 W · 425 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Alafia Ayeni | 24c | 81.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 79.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Alafia Ayeni | 21c | 64.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Alafia Ayeni | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 78c | 62.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Alafia Ayeni | 24c | 55.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Alafia Ayeni | 23c | 50.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alafia Ayeni | 24c | 47.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 471 | 53.1%250 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 73c | 38.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 75c | 32.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…2b2bbacked Rodrigo Pacheco | 76c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rodrigo Pacheco | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.