Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs EVOPLAY (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55b6f7d30e03843e22f15498261e2d7dbbec9f45fe69be8346e936965b92a2db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pixel Luminaof Pixel Lumina, EVOPLAY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked EVOPLAY | 43c | 2,525$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.63 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Pixel Lumina | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Pixel Lumina | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked EVOPLAY | 45c | 678.95$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.05 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…727fbacked Pixel Lumina | 55c | 555$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed EVOPLAY | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked EVOPLAY | 6c | 196$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Pixel Lumina | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pixel Lumina | 56c | 155$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Pixel Lumina | 57c | 97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…12edbacked Pixel Lumina | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Pixel Lumina | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…b575backed EVOPLAY | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Pixel Lumina | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Pixel Lumina | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked EVOPLAY | 39c | 31.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed EVOPLAY | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Pixel Lumina | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Pixel Lumina | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Pixel Lumina | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.