CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55dcf8c889d5bb79d2026a454eae01b0a986ff63ffe72f9cd66e36bc3a2a869d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Infiniteof Team Nemesis, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Infinite | 56c | 516.95$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 377.77$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 297.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 275.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 224.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Infinite | 57c | 214.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 185.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Infinite | 61c | 164.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Infinite | 62c | 162.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Infinite | 57c | 127.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 116.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 114.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Infinite | 61c | 113.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Infinite | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 91.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 86.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Infinite | 58c | 84.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Infinite | 58c | 83.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Infinite | 22c | 75.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Infinite | 61c | 66.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…8b5ebacked Infinite | 60c | 65.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed Infinite | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Infinite | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Infinite | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 48.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Infinite | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked Infinite | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Infinite | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 26.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Infinite | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked Infinite | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed Infinite | 57c | 19.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group ATeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerInfinite won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.