TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kiwoom DRX Challengersof T1 Academy, Kiwoom DRX Challengers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,659 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f03…b1bebacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers58c7,082$4,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.021,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers58c3,067$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.311,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed T1 Academy43c2,891$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.9864443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed T1 Academy43c2,400$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03211936.1%43 W · 76 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed T1 Academy41c2,039$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83612236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed T1 Academy42c1,300$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54610541.9%44 W · 61 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers54c1,171$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.161,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed T1 Academy42c1,076$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.5585836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked T1 Academy44c1,065$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2530035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers55c888$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.61,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed T1 Academy45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed T1 Academy41c360.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482025%5 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71ce…cc35backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8312552%65 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked T1 Academy41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12386649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…b8f8backed T1 Academy43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.58362.7%52 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed T1 Academy41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.618161.3%111 W · 70 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed T1 Academy43c88.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812834.4%44 W · 84 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed T1 Academy41c73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9360849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed T1 Academy41c43.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed T1 Academy43c23.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.