CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x560df4c388c8895f4072be5f15f5261ed01541702fb5885c770f88a81be60c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Hashiras, Imperial Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Hashiras | 67c | 888.83$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.31 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Imperial Academy | 18c | 572.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Imperial Academy | 33c | 508.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Hashiras | 73c | 501.8$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial Academy | 18c | 457.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…a4c5backed Imperial Academy | 3c | 390.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 79c | 327.9$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Imperial Academy | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Imperial Academy | 33c | 235.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Imperial Academy | 15c | 216.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Imperial Academy | 7c | 202.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial Academy | 25c | 192.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…32e1backed Imperial Academy | 32c | 148.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Hashiras | 72c | 136.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Imperial Academy | 20c | 135$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Imperial Academy | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Hashiras | 66c | 96.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Imperial Academy | 30c | 94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Imperial Academy | 17c | 82.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Hashiras | 77c | 80.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…1c32backed Imperial Academy | 15c | 76.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Imperial Academy | 21c | 74.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Hashiras | 76c | 59.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hashiras | 70c | 58.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hashiras | 69c | 44.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…2f7dbacked Imperial Academy | 24c | 42.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Hashiras | 69c | 42.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 264 | 54.2%143 W · 121 L | -19.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Hashiras | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Imperial Academy | 32c | 42.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4b…fc54backed Imperial Academy | 36c | 35.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Hashiras | 69c | 31.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Hashiras | 69c | 31.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Hashiras | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…3ed3backed Hashiras | 68c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Hashiras | 71c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed Hashiras | 79c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Imperial Academy | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Imperial Academy - Map 1 WinnerHashiras won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Imperial Academy - Map 2 WinnerHashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.