CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Imperial Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27dbbc276f9ea07c0ef86aa0769dc0742b54ec2f3777c14e8da8d97c019d5c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Hashiras, Imperial Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Hashiras | 71c | 1,379$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.7 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hashiras | 68c | 865.61$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Hashiras | 66c | 495.26$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.39 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8c…f2cebacked Imperial Academy | 34c | 487.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Imperial Academy | 38c | 436.52$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.84 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Hashiras | 66c | 405.3$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Imperial Academy | 42c | 405.27$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Imperial Academy | 41c | 361.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.38 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Imperial Academy | 29c | 289.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Imperial Academy | 43c | 262.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Imperial Academy | 35c | 201.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial Academy | 26c | 160.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Imperial Academy | 19c | 131.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Hashiras | 66c | 114.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 62c | 100.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hashiras | 70c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hashiras | 64c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Imperial Academy | 29c | 71.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hashiras | 67c | 67.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…ac69backed Hashiras | 75c | 59.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Hashiras | 72c | 58.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Imperial Academy | 39c | 46.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed Imperial Academy | 36c | 40.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Imperial Academy | 38c | 33.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Hashiras | 66c | 32.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Imperial Academy | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Hashiras | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Hashiras | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Imperial Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group DHashiras won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Imperial Academy - Map 1 WinnerHashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.