Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Simona Waltert vs Despina Papamichail
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5652b3a8184f3752e831fcbed1a7e5810d7b9f7d533a3b3375d518c5bfe4e6b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Simona Waltertof Simona Waltert, Despina Papamichail
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d5e…4a1bbacked Despina Papamichail | 0c | 94,006$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…3904backed Despina Papamichail | 0c | 28,202$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Despina Papamichail | 12c | 16,180$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.26 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Despina Papamichail | 11c | 7,312$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.48 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Despina Papamichail | 15c | 5,429$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.87 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Despina Papamichail | 19c | 1,908$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…38c8backed Despina Papamichail | 6c | 1,668$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Despina Papamichail | 3c | 1,023$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Despina Papamichail | 9c | 1,001$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Despina Papamichail | 13c | 899.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Despina Papamichail | 2c | 784.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Despina Papamichail | 24c | 709.84$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Despina Papamichail | 8c | 580.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Despina Papamichail | 15c | 504.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Simona Waltert | 72c | 338.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Despina Papamichail | 15c | 332.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Despina Papamichail | 24c | 280.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Despina Papamichail | 19c | 236.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…9b4abacked Despina Papamichail | 6c | 209.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Despina Papamichail | 18c | 202.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Simona Waltert | 78c | 177.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Despina Papamichail | 17c | 156.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Simona Waltert | 70c | 140.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 160 | 63.8%102 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Simona Waltert | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Despina Papamichail | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Despina Papamichail | 15c | 109.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Despina Papamichail | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Despina Papamichail | 27c | 95.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Despina Papamichail | 27c | 87.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Despina Papamichail | 23c | 79.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Despina Papamichail | 15c | 74.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Despina Papamichail | 18c | 72.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Despina Papamichail | 22c | 70.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Despina Papamichail | 20c | 69.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Despina Papamichail | 21c | 66.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked Simona Waltert | 80c | 53.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Simona Waltert | 76c | 44.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Despina Papamichail | 32c | 35.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Simona Waltert | 79c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Simona Waltert | 80c | 32.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…db6fbacked Simona Waltert | 70c | 22.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…6c88backed Simona Waltert | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.