Tennis · resolved market
ITF The Hague: Fons Van Sambeek vs Aristotelis Thanos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5655f7f9bc79fd18360c1c83faeb57ab8212cf7b6aefd67808db16bfe889ad92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fons Van Sambeekof Fons Van Sambeek, Aristotelis Thanos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aristotelis Thanos | 58c | 5,810$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.67 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Fons Van Sambeek | 42c | 5,719$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.73 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Fons Van Sambeek | 48c | 864.63$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.63 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Aristotelis Thanos | 52c | 402.44$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.27 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fons Van Sambeek | 67c | 297.45$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Aristotelis Thanos | 55c | 183.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fons Van Sambeek | 63c | 118.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Aristotelis Thanos | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aristotelis Thanos | 31c | 101.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Aristotelis Thanos | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Aristotelis Thanos | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Fons Van Sambeek | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aristotelis Thanos | 51c | 61.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Aristotelis Thanos | 30c | 48.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aristotelis Thanos | 51c | 45.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Aristotelis Thanos | 52c | 38.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Aristotelis Thanos | 51c | 36.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Aristotelis Thanos | 52c | 35.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fons Van Sambeek | 70c | 33.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Aristotelis Thanos | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Aristotelis Thanos | 50c | 21.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Aristotelis Thanos | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.