Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x571f86388c184e57afd83dc8dc98140e6ba4b715864aaf4e9a0ae640e155cdf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,150$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620f…4288backed Yes | 45c | 1,874$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 1,415$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.18 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 27c | 1,058$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 1,018$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.56 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 915.23$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 75c | 683$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 647.4$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 304.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…47bebacked Yes | 51c | 296.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 63c | 265.92$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 27c | 229.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 20c | 146.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 122.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 48c | 121.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.30per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 87.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 49c | 79.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 79c | 78.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 75c | 68.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 66.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 60.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 25c | 56.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…ad9ebacked No | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 56c | 53.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 50.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedc…2173backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 47.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 41.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…b2ecbacked Yes | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 32.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 56c | 31.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed No | 61c | 30.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 50c | 25.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 67c | 20.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 75c | 17.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 17.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 76c | 15.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AZ end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.