Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x574dc6ab3c864aa34043d24c5f0191a85d2804b59c08e82642a227548efc079f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 370.04$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.01 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 55c | 274$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 230.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 63c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x933d…4118backed Over | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 37c | 87.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 63.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 56.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 44c | 41.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.