Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rogaska Slatina: Stefanie Auer vs Nala Kovacic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x577b1979bfd1db2b5ce535cb3d334c4186daf235c613b83e749f6233ddbbac0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nala Kovacicof Stefanie Auer, Nala Kovacic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefanie Auer | 28c | 2,641$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nala Kovacic | 75c | 1,592$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nala Kovacic | 75c | 995.58$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.02 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nala Kovacic | 29c | 467.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.28 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefanie Auer | 34c | 425.66$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Nala Kovacic | 79c | 378.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Stefanie Auer | 71c | 365$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.15 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…64bbbacked Stefanie Auer | 79c | 344.06$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.36 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Nala Kovacic | 27c | 337.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.04 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Stefanie Auer | 75c | 220.7$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Stefanie Auer | 72c | 207.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Nala Kovacic | 76c | 174.34$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Stefanie Auer | 78c | 171$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nala Kovacic | 72c | 154.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Stefanie Auer | 71c | 130$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Stefanie Auer | 24c | 117.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Stefanie Auer | 31c | 107.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nala Kovacic | 20c | 105$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nala Kovacic | 24c | 85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nala Kovacic | 28c | 75.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nala Kovacic | 21c | 64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Nala Kovacic | 76c | 60.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Nala Kovacic | 76c | 50.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Nala Kovacic | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Nala Kovacic | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Nala Kovacic | 74c | 31.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Nala Kovacic | 76c | 23.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Stefanie Auer | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Stefanie Auer | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f80…17bdbacked Stefanie Auer | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Stefanie Auer | 72c | 16.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Nala Kovacic | 76c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.