TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f80…17bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Vancouver: Cody Wong vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Himeno Sakatsume · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.67
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.65
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.88
ITF Rogaska Slatina: Stefanie Auer vs Nala Kovacicbacked Stefanie Auer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Samsun: Gabriel Debru vs Florent Baxbacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.21
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.83
ITF Wetzlar: Arian Barbic vs Lars Goran Verwerftbacked Lars Goran Verwerft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF Brisbane: Ya Yi Yang vs Fang An Linbacked Ya Yi Yang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutetbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$8.56
Vancouver: Andres Andrade vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Samsun: Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.97
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Targu Mures: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$8.52
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Kristina Liutova vs Maria Kozyrevabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.06
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Sofia Johnsonbacked Storm Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$6.31
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$6.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.77
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.